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Cake day: February 10th, 2025

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  • The AI bubble is certainly going to burst at some point. Assuming manufacturers are ramping up production to profit off of the higher prices, the bubble will result in a glut of supply after demand collapses. So we’ll likely see a year or two of depressed electronics prices.

    On top of that, DDR5 is worth more than gold until DDR6 comes along and suddenly you have companies who own a significant percentage of the 2025 global production of RAM that want to purchase newer hardware. I doubt all of that RAM is going to be shredded, so we may have a thriving secondary market when that happens.

    It’ll suck for the next year or two, so get used to your current PC and pray that you don’t have a RAM failure.






  • I think that people are too enthralled with the current situation that’s centered around LLMs, the massive capital bubble and the secondary effects from the expansion of datacenter space (power, water, etc).

    You’re right that they do allow for the disruption of labor markets in fields that were not expecting computers to be able to do their job (to be fair to them, humanity has spent hundreds of millions of dollars designing various language processing software and been unable to engineer the software to do it effectively).

    I think that usually when people say ‘AI’ they mean ChatGPT or LLMs in general. The reason that LLMs are big is because neural networks require a huge amount of data to train and the largest data repository that we have (the Internet) is text, images and video… so it makes sense that the first impressive models were trained on text and images/video.

    The field of robotics hasn’t had access to a large public dataset to train large models on, so we don’t see large robotics models but they’re coming. You can already see it, compare robotic motion 4 years ago using a human engineered feedback control loop… the motions are accurate but they’re jerky and mechanical. Now look at the same company making a robot that uses a neural network trained on human kinematic data, that motion looks so natural that it breaks through the uncanny valley to me.

    This is just one company generating data using human models (which is very expensive) but this is the kind of thing that will be ubiquitous and cheap given enough time.

    This isn’t to mention the AlphaFold AI which learned how to fold proteins better than anything human engineered. Then, using a diffusion model (the same kind used in making pictures of shrimp jesus) another group was able to generate the RNA which would manufacture new novel proteins that fit a specific receptor. Proteins are important because essentially every kind of medication that we use has to interact with a protein-based receptor and the ability to create, visualize and test custom proteins in addition to the ability to write arbitrary mRNA (see, the mRNA COVID vaccine) is huge for computational protein design (responsible for the AIDS vaccines).

    LLMs and the capitalist bubble surrounding them is certainly an important topic, framing it as being ‘against AI’ creates an impression that AI technology has nothing positive to offer. This reduces the amount of people who study the topic or major in it in college. So in 10 years, we’ll have less machine learning specialists than other countries who are not drowning in this ‘AI bad’ meme.




  • The biggest problem I faced was <today’s problem>. Had to <solution from the wiki>… this was admittedly a huge pain in the ass but it’s a niche problem and it was solved.

    As a Linux user, this is basically your life now.

    But you don’t have every advertising agency on the planet rifling through the contents of your computer… so there’s that.

    The best biggest problem was the video drivers. My resolution maxed out at 32:9 [email protected] and the screen would not wake from sleep. I ran two commands to download and install the Nvidia drivers and it worked - 1440&240hz with HDR and it wakes properly

    You will run into some issues with HDR, it’s still pretty new in Plasma and Wine so some games will not recognize that you have HDR support (Path of Exile 2, for example). You can run the games in gamescope (The arch wiki has a good article bout it, btw), which will have a small bit of performance overhead but hasn’t failed me yet at enabling HDR in stubborn games. You also need Proton 10 or better.

    Your best bet is to install protonup-qt and use it to download and install GE-Proton10-27. GloriousEggroll maintains a community build of Proton which includes more current versions of the software and some extra community tweaks. protonup-qt just gives you a GUI to install/update. It works with the flatpak version of steam as well.

    Don’t be afraid to check other distros wikis. Often the solutions will work on your system or at least give you an idea of what to look for. The Arch and Gentoo wikis are excellent sources of information.



  • One of the first videos I watched about LLMs, was a journalist who didn’t know anything about programming used ChatGPT to build a javascript game in the browser. He’d just copy paste code and then paste the errors and ask for help debugging. It even had to walk him through setting of VS Code and a git repo.

    He said it took him about 4 hours to get a playable platformer.

    I think that’s an example of a unique capability of AI. It can let a non-programmer kinda program, it can let a non-Chinese speaker speak kinda Chinese, it’ll let a non-artist kinda produce art.

    I don’t doubt that it’ll get better, but even now it’s very useful in some cases (nowhere near enough to justify the trillions of dollars being spent though).