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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: June 16th, 2023

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  • Moving the capital is a major logistical hurdle in peace or war.

    In war, it is usually a bad sign if a government has to abandon the capital. The only cases I can think of where a government had to abandon the capital but ended up winning the war was the United States in the War of 1812 and Mexico during the French installation of a Mexican king, both cases where the war ended in part because the war became too costly to the occupier and the occupied could trade massive amounts of land, someone Venezuela can’t really do.

    In peace, there is a massive amount of infrastructure that needs to be built to support the administration of a government. Germany chose to keep several government agencies in Bonn during unification given the large number of government buildings available. South Korea’s attempt to move the capital to Sejong has been slow and has only moved some ministries. Indonesia and Egypt are having issues funding their relocation attempts. Venezuela, in contrast, is fucking broke.








  • Some AI companies are doing this because the cost of relying on the open market is too high to build in certain areas and the standard of electricity required by the data center may be something that the grid can’t supply.

    There are also some countries, like Saudi Arabia, trying to lure data centers into their countries by offering cheap land, permitting, and cheap electricity.


  • Microsoft really took a step back from competing with Ballmer at the helm. Part of it relates to the problem where the company couldn’t really leverage its monopolistic powers across different market segments to gain an advantage.

    There is an alternate reality where, unburdened by worries of vertical integration, Microsoft leverages its tech with TiVo, XBox, and Zune to build out an XBox capable of playing some in-demand video. I expect this includes Viacom’s library, which was experimenting with offering its first run shows online.

    I can see that Microsoft persuading Viacom to give the XBox exclusive console access, either by getting bought out or an independent guarantee. This, combined with its Netflix streaming, pushes the XBox beyond being a console to something more.





  • I’ve known a few people who own a second home as an investment in a high cost of living area. For them, it is just another way to invest that doesn’t involve the stock market.

    The returns can be a little lower, but you don’t have to pay capital gains when you sell your primary residence. So, the no-tax financial move is to move into the rental when you want to downsize or leave and sell the primary residence. Then, you either live in your downsized and paid off rental as your residence or you wait two years and sell that residence as your new primary residence to get out of paying capital gains on your rental.



  • While there has been a taboo against the changing of borders in Africa due to legitimate reasons, it became accepted that South Sudan should be created due to the destabilizing force that the Sudanese government played in the local populace. While the southern part of Somalia isn’t a direct threat to Somaliland, it is obvious that there isn’t a central Somali government able to enact control over Somaliland and the Somaliland government doesn’t wish territorial expansion to become the legitimate government of all Somalia.

    In these terms, I feel like the recognition of Somaliland isn’t destabilizing to the region and seems to be a better option than continued anarchy over a wider area.

    I also feel like Djibouti is trying to fight against this recognition as this gives Ethiopia another path to sea access.