StinkyFingerItchyBum

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  • 11 Comments
Joined 2 months ago
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Cake day: February 26th, 2025

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  • I respect what you are saying, and agree our LLM are just superficial pseudo communication engines. Theories of intelligence differ, but I don’t think human intelligence, i.e. IQ of 100 is really all that far ahead of LLM. Just talk to your average person. We are easily wrong. We have bias and error. We repeat and amplify untruths and make mistakes.

    It could be fewer breakthoughs than you think to get there. Not because the tech is so advanced, but because we are not that special.

    Super-intelligence is just degrees better.


  • Like all technology, the development times get shorter and shorter. No one can predict the future and specific dates are meaningless, but it is plausible that, stumbles aside, AI achieves superintelligence in the very near future. My gut says sooner than later with 90% probability by 2040. <-remember I said dates are meaningless. ;)

    The world is not ready for it. It will be more destructive than constructive. May god have mercy on us all. I hope I am wrong.