• Lvxferre [he/him]@mander.xyz
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    20 hours ago

    I’m fairly sure the reason the tech bros’ cheerleaders [flagged] this link was not the paywall, but because they find deeply offensive when people doubt their “vizhuns” about “eh eye”.

    Anyway. I couldn’t find a non-paywalled version. Here’s how I think it’ll burst:

    • Vulture capital (Vanguard Group, BlackRock, State Street, Fidelity, Geode, and others) get impatient because GAFAM (Google, Amazon, Facebook, Apple, Microsoft) CEOs promised them mad profits, and they aren’t getting them.
    • CEOs pressure their workers further to deliver it. Market team makes even more outrageous claims about how AI will even poop for you, product designers manage to put even more AI per squared kilobyte as before, etc.
    • Popular attitude towards AI reaches a low. Not the low those CEOs want, “AI gonna replace our jobs!”, but more like “this shit is useless, and a waste of time and money”.
    • The potential customers for AI — bosses who want to fire 9/10 of their employees and replace them with a bot — realise they’ll lose money if they do it. So they don’t buy AI.
    • Vulture capital gets tired of waiting. They sell their GAFAM shares and buy shares for whatever - blue popcorn, labubu factories, potato trees. They also sell their Nvidia shares because they know the gold rush is over, so no reason to keep investing on the guy who sells shovels.
    • Supply and demand. Stonks go down. The market enters in recession. GAFAM and Nvidia survive, but in dire straits; “Open”“A”“I” is absorbed by Microsoft; everyone else involved with AI goes bankrupt.
    • A few years later, neural networks are mostly a subject of research. There are only a handful of vendors sticking to what LLMs are actually useful for, but they’ll market it as something else.

    Still a better love story than Twilight.