Hahaha. April 1st is early this year.
They are never going to make enough money by selling licenses and subscriptions for the cost of their current models (smarter people than me have made good estimates), let alone the future ones. Those future models are at a much worse performance-cost ratio. Ads will at best bring in about 1 usd per user per month (estimated by Facebook revenue and number of users) - double or triple it just for lolz, and they would still be losing money.
So… how will this be pulled off? Only wrong answers!
Have a partnership with Microsoft and ship Windows 12 as the new “AI only” OS. Every command must go through ChatGPT to work. Then push updates to older Win11 OS to make them unusable.
LLMs are not advancing enough any more. There just isn’t any more useful human generated text to train new models on. The net is already full of AI generated slop. OpenAI currently spends 2.35 USD to make 1 USD. It’s fundamentally unsustainable.
Hahaha. April 1st is early this year.
They are never going to make enough money by selling licenses and subscriptions for the cost of their current models (smarter people than me have made good estimates), let alone the future ones. Those future models are at a much worse performance-cost ratio. Ads will at best bring in about 1 usd per user per month (estimated by Facebook revenue and number of users) - double or triple it just for lolz, and they would still be losing money.
So… how will this be pulled off? Only wrong answers!
Have a partnership with Microsoft and ship Windows 12 as the new “AI only” OS. Every command must go through ChatGPT to work. Then push updates to older Win11 OS to make them unusable.
From what I’ve heard, they don’t need to push updates to achieve that
How fast are they burning money right now?
Based on their funding rounds, $10 billion lasts about 18 months.
So about $555 million per month.
They don’t care if they earn money the next 5-7 years.
And they will hit the point of a great model doing human work for less than a monthly salary. It’s just a matter of time.
I’m incredulous.
There was that thread asking what people are using LLMs for and it pretty much came down to “softening language in emails”.
For most jobs LLMs can provide a small productivity bump.
IMO if an LLM can do most of your job then you’re not producing much value anyway.
LLMs are not advancing enough any more. There just isn’t any more useful human generated text to train new models on. The net is already full of AI generated slop. OpenAI currently spends 2.35 USD to make 1 USD. It’s fundamentally unsustainable.
It costs 1 billion dollars to develop solar cells before they even sell the first product.
The costed 100.000 dollars when starting to sell.
They go for under 10 bucks per square today.
And it’s like that for any technology ever invented.
They’ll upgrade the Aibo and stick Altman’s face on it. People in offices can enjoy kicking it.