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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: June 15th, 2023

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  • Maybe, but it’s just an aspect of the hobby. Besides fiddling with bed leveling it is mostly ready to use, even if you buy new and assemble it yourself that’s only a couple hours. Most of the other issues I brought up really only come into play once you start trying to do something less common.

    I stand by my suggestion to fiddle with one for a while. You can probably pick one up secondhand, get a feel for the hobby, and upgrade once you figure out what features and capabilities are most important to you. It’s the sort of hobby where you have to get your hands dirty a little bit just to get a good grip on what your real requirements are. Good printers can be a little pricey, and knowing what you need helps you avoid overpaying for stuff you don’t need.


  • It’s probably not the best, but I started with an Ender 3. I kinda like it for not being the best. While you’re dealing with bed leveling issues, and hot end issues, and extruder issues, and Gcode issues, and filament issues, and adhesion issues, you’re learning about the core aspects of the technology.

    Sure, you could get something that’s basically plug-and-play from the start, but then you won’t really understand what’s going on. And eventually, you’re going to want to do something that requires you know what’s going on.

    Don’t get me wrong, it’s not abusively bad or anything. It’s just simple, it doesn’t have modern creature comforts.

    You can probably pick up an E3 secondhand, pre-assembled, for pretty cheap. It may be the most extensively troubleshot, documented, and modified printer ever. You can ship-of-Theseus it into basically any specification you want, and I’ve never had a problem that didn’t have dozens of solution threads.

    Even if you eventually replace it, and you probably will, the lessons you learn fiddling around with it will carry on into the hobby.


  • Ignoring the AI part, since it doesn’t even know it’s gaslighting you.

    Maybe read some Buckminster Fuller. He opined to some length about trends in real-world changes.

    Isaac Asimov as well, just for a general sense of the approach.

    But overall probabilities are kinda arbitrary when applied to specific events. They work fine for a whole lot of similar events (e.g. pulling colored marbles out of a bag) but they don’t really have any tangible meaning for unique events. Either you guess wrong or you guess right.

    If you want to predict future events, you need to have a good grasp on current events, past events, and systemic behavior in general. There isn’t one methodology that yields results generally. You need to tailor your approach to suit each prediction.

    That’s not something you can learn from one book, course, or series of exercises. It relies on broad scholarship.










  • I feel like it’s all gotta be from #8 right? It makes it pretty easy to get >0 legitimately, seems like it would be hard for anyone working on black holes to not have a double digit score from that alone.

    Though I could see some cheeky positive values from #13, assuming the theory is a well established one, Randi style. (Or #20 for the typo)








  • And when the choices are all false ones?

    Yeah, that was exactly my point.

    Nobody saying that “electoralism is a sham” is saying that’s the “be all end all of their political responsibility.” They just generally have a broader definition of “political responsibility”.

    Yeah that hasn’t been my experience. Especially in the last election cycle, I saw a lot of that supposed strawman. No community engagement, no actual political engagement, no workplace engagement, just “Kamala bad”. People who insisted that not voting or voting third party would send a message. Don’t pretend they don’t exist, I’ve talked to dozens.

    I stand by my statement. All else equal, a liberal who does nothing except vote Democrat is better by far than a “leftist” who does nothing except tell people not to vote Democrat.